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What is investment risk and how should it shape your investing decisions?

5 minutes| Apr 06 2026

By Paul Feeney

Investment risk is one of the most important concepts in personal investing — and one of the most misunderstood. Many Australians know that investing involves risk, but aren't clear on what types of investment risk they're actually taking on, or how to think about it before making a decision.

Understanding investment risk in Australia isn't about avoiding it. It's about choosing investments whose risk profile matches your goals, timeframe and personal tolerance — so you're not caught off guard when things don't go to plan.

What is investment risk?

In investing, risk refers to the possibility that an investment's value will fall, that it won't grow enough to meet your goals, or that you won't be able to access your money when you need it. Different types of investment risk apply to different assets, and understanding each one is part of making good investing decisions.

Market risk — the risk every investor faces

Market risk is the risk that the overall market falls in value, taking your investment with it. This affects almost every investment that isn't cash or a term deposit. Shares, ETFs, property and bonds all carry market risk to varying degrees.

Market downturns happen, sometimes sharply. Australian shares fell by more than 50% from peak to trough during the GFC before recovering. More recently, markets experienced significant volatility during 2020. Understanding market risk in Australia means accepting that short-term falls are a normal part of investing — and planning accordingly.

Concentration risk — the danger of putting everything in one place

Concentration risk is the risk of being too heavily exposed to a single investment, sector or asset class. If you put all your money into one company's shares and that company has a bad year, there's nothing to offset it.

Diversification is the primary tool for managing concentration risk. ETFs are popular for this reason — a single broad-market ASX ETF holds hundreds of companies, so poor performance from any one of them has a limited impact on your overall return. This is one of the key advantages of ETF investing for Australians focused on managing investment risk.

Liquidity risk — can you access your money when you need it?

Liquidity risk is the risk of not being able to sell an investment quickly or cheaply. ASX-listed shares and ETFs are generally very liquid — you can sell during market hours and typically receive your money within a few business days.

Property, by contrast, has very low liquidity. Selling takes months, comes with significant transaction costs (stamp duty, agent fees, legal costs), and you can't sell part of a property if you only need some of the capital. For Australians building wealth outside super and wanting flexibility, liquidity risk is worth weighing carefully.

Inflation risk — the risk of going backwards in real terms

Inflation risk means your investment returns don't keep pace with inflation, so even if your portfolio's nominal value grows, you're losing purchasing power in real terms. Cash sitting in a savings account earning 2% when inflation is running at 3% is a common example.

This is one reason many long-term investors choose growth assets — shares, ETFs — over cash. The higher potential return compensates for the higher short-term volatility. Understanding inflation risk helps explain why doing nothing with your money has its own costs.

Currency risk — the exchange rate effect

If you invest in international assets — like a global shares ETF — your returns are affected by currency movements as well as the underlying asset performance. An international ETF might perform strongly in US dollar terms, but if the Australian dollar strengthens against the USD, your AUD returns will be lower.

Some international ETFs are currency hedged, meaning they use financial instruments to reduce this effect. Others are unhedged. Understanding which you hold is part of managing investment risk in an internationally diversified portfolio.

What is risk tolerance and why does it matter?

Risk tolerance is how much volatility you're genuinely comfortable experiencing — not just in theory, but when you're watching your portfolio fall in real time. It's common for people to overestimate their risk tolerance before markets fall and underestimate it after.

Investors with high risk tolerance and long investment timeframes are generally better placed to hold growth assets like shares and broad-market ETFs, accepting short-term fluctuations for potentially higher long-term returns. Lower risk tolerance or shorter timeframes call for more conservative options.

The most honest test of your risk tolerance isn't a questionnaire — it's asking yourself how you'd actually respond if your investments dropped 25% next month. Would you stay the course? Would you want to sell?

Getting advice that accounts for your risk profile

Managing investment risk well is about matching your investments to your actual risk tolerance, timeframe and goals — not a generic profile. Otivo provides licensed personal investing advice that takes your specific circumstances into account, helping you understand which investments are appropriate given the investment risks you're genuinely comfortable taking on.

The information in this communication is current as at April 2026 and has been prepared by Otivo Pty Ltd ABN 47 602 457 732, AFSL and Australian Credit Licence No. 485665. This content is general information only and has been prepared without taking into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. It is not personal financial or taxation advice and should not be relied on as such. Before acting on any information, you should consider its appropriateness having regard to your personal circumstances. This material must not be reproduced in whole or in part, or posted on any social media platform, without the prior written consent of Otivo Pty Ltd.

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